MLB Player Props & Expert Picks: Saturday's Best Prop Bets (2024)

June begins with a loaded 15-game Saturday Major League Baseball, andwe offer our top MLB player props and expert picks based on the bestMLB odds.

June signals a good time for fans and bettors to dig into the MLB standings, as most statistics - both player and team - tend to normalize by this point.

According to Elias Sports Bureau, 94 ofthe 161 teams since 1995 (58%) that were in sole possession of first in their division entering Junehave gone on to win it.

Saturday provides a chance for severalof MLB’s best teams to inflate their record and create distance betweenthemselves and their competitors, as the only game between two teams withwinning records is a showdown between the San Diego Padres and Kansas City Royals matchup at 4:10p.m. ET from Kauffman Stadium.

Here are our MLB player props and expertpicks for Saturday (MLB picks basedon odds via our bestMLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a1-to-5-star scale).

Saturday’s MLB expert picks

• Yusei Kikuchi to record a win (+170 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 runs (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Cal Raleigh to hit a home run (+390 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 18.5 outs (-106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

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MLB player props

Yusei Kikuchi to record a win ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Gameinfo: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays| Moneyline: Blue Jays (-165 via Betway) | Total: 7.5 viaBetway | Start time: 3:07 p.m. ET

Yusei Kikuchi has won just two of his 11starts, despite averaging ninestrikeouts per nine innings and six of those being quality starts. That strikeout rate figures to increase against aPittsburgh Pirates lineup that just whiffed eight times in seven innings intheir last game against a southpaw (Tarik Skubal), and one that has thethird-highest K% (25.8%) against lefties all season.

Toronto is 0-6 in Kikuchi’s last sixstarts, but four of his six quality starts have come at home this season, wherehe has pitched to a 2.81 ERA and a .212 OBA, as opposed to a .294 OBA in roadstarts. And from the All-Star Break of last season to mid-May, Kikuchi rankedfourth in fWAR among all starting pitchers, which suggests he will not be keptout of the win column for long.

bet365 offers similar +190 odds forPirates righty Mitch Keller to earn the victory, so we feel we are getting verygenerous odds at +170 with Kikuchi, given that the Blue Jays are steep -165moneyline favorites.

Best odds:+170 via bet365

Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 runs ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Gameinfo: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles | Moneyline: Orioles (-170 via Betway) | Total: 7.5 via Betway | Start time: 4:05 p.m. ET

Gunnar Henderson has a path to the AL MVP Award this year, especially if New York Yankees teammates Aaron Judge and Juan Sototake votes away from each other. Henderson entered the weekend tied with Judgeand Tucker for the MLB lead in home runs (18), and he ranked eighth in wRC+ andfourth in fWAR.

Henderson has scored at least one run inthree consecutive games and 10 of his last 13, and the Orioles have scored thesecond-most runs in the AL (155) in home games this year.

Baltimore should findoffensive success against Tampa Bay Rays righty Taj Bradley, who has made threeof his four starts against AL East opponents this year and has pitched to a4.00 ERA while allowing three home runs and a 31:13 fly ball-to-ground ballratio in that span.

Best odds:-115 via BetMGM

Cal Raleigh to hit a home run ⭐⭐

Gameinfo: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners| Moneyline: Mariners (-170 via Betway) | Total: 7.5 via Betway | Start time: 7:15 p.m. ET

Cal Raleigh is the epitome of the SeattleMariners lineup, one that ranks in the top 10 of the majors in home runs (63),but one that also has scored more runs than only the St. Louis Cardinals andChicago White Sox, in large part because they collectively bat .222 with a .296on-base percentage.

Raleigh has struck out in 17 of 44at-bats against left-handed pitching this year, but he is also the onlyMariners hitter with five home runs against southpaws. He has excellent odds totake Reid Detmers deep, a pitcher who has allowed multiple home runs in four ofhis previous seven starts, with his HR/9 rate on pace to increase for the thirdstraight season.

Raleigh backers should head toFanDuel for this wager, as the $3.90 return on every dollar bet for a winningwager trumps the next-best odds at BetMGM ($2.60 per dollar wagered).

Best odds:+390 via FanDuel

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 18.5 outs ⭐⭐⭐

Gameinfo: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers| Moneyline: Dodgers (-330 via Betway) | Total: 7.5 via Betway | Start time: 10:10 p.m. ET

Yoshinobu Yamamoto averages 86.6 pitchersper start, which ranks third among all Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitchers.However, he has thrown 100 pitches in back-to-back starts, which is a sign thatthe coaching staff trusts that he is fully stretched out and capable of workingdeeper into games.

Yamamoto has recorded 18-plus outs infive of his previous seven starts, including reaching that mark in threeconsecutive home starts. He should work effectively against a Colorado Rockieslineup that has the sixth-highest strikeout rate in road games, while alsoranking 20th or worse in all slash line categories and 25th in wRC+ in thatsplit.

With all our otherbest sports betting sites’ oddsbeing too steep to back Yamomoto Over 17.5 outs, we are opting for themuch better price at the higher total at FanDuel.

Best odds:-106 via FanDuel

MLB player props made Saturday at 7:06 a.m. ET.

Here are our bestMLB betting sites:

• Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
• BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
• bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
• BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
• FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
• DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review

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Related pages

• Best Live Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)